Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.357392 0.464132 0.580215 0.714087 0.862632 1.021026 1.201381
2025-09-28 0.226070 0.370410 0.544065 0.759854 1.013761 1.297286 1.632623
2025-10-05 0.167080 0.328817 0.538086 0.810667 1.142355 1.521936 1.979534
2025-10-12 0.121639 0.291754 0.528384 0.849885 1.252253 1.721826 2.296298
2025-10-19 0.096769 0.276263 0.541095 0.912361 1.386286 1.946761 2.639133
2025-10-26 0.073760 0.256679 0.543818 0.958760 1.498227 2.143886 2.948360
2025-11-02 0.048315 0.223539 0.521691 0.968328 1.561150 2.280046 3.184087
2025-11-09 0.020719 0.169470 0.459201 0.916709 1.541518 2.312540 3.293827
2025-11-16 0.004704 0.121209 0.395770 0.856719 1.505834 2.321388 3.371925
2025-11-23 0.000305 0.094317 0.362936 0.837071 1.520485 2.390491 3.520843
2025-11-30 NaN 0.081041 0.352963 0.850289 1.578418 2.513337 3.734754
2025-12-07 NaN 0.063503 0.329852 0.840651 1.603449 2.593329 3.895281
2025-12-14 NaN 0.044900 0.299653 0.819307 1.614213 2.658743 4.043334
2025-12-21 NaN 0.042455 0.309162 0.864183 1.719502 2.847663 4.346594
2025-12-28 NaN 0.042461 0.325055 0.919715 1.839835 3.055952 4.673774
2026-01-04 NaN 0.039843 0.332872 0.961247 1.940118 3.238271 4.968804
2026-01-11 NaN 0.042071 0.355131 1.027930 2.076811 3.468346 5.323800
2026-01-18 NaN 0.041101 0.367452 1.077267 2.188505 3.665843 5.638206
2026-01-25 NaN 0.033679 0.357824 1.087446 2.243104 3.788350 5.858561
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018624 0.313514 1.032537 2.200783 3.782080 5.916126
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007426 0.267280 0.968613 2.141879 3.751596 5.941299
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003168 0.245134 0.947648 2.145518 3.803120 6.069134
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001832 0.240926 0.961754 2.202313 3.926024 6.287936